The Scheffler Index

A Two-Year Analysis: Scottie Scheffler vs. The S&P 500

From January 2023 to June 2025, we tracked two investment strategies: betting $100 on Scottie Scheffler to win every tournament he played, versus investing that same capital in an S&P 500 index fund. The results reveal a fascinating story about risk, reward, and historic dominance.

The Volatility of Victory

This chart tracks the cumulative profit/loss from betting $100 on Scheffler in every start. The strategy endured long periods of losses before massive payouts from his wins created huge spikes in profit, highlighting the high-risk, high-reward nature of sports betting.

The Market's Steady Climb

This chart shows the growth of a hypothetical $5,500 investment in the S&P 500, made on January 1st, 2023. Unlike the sharp peaks and valleys of the betting strategy, market investing shows a much smoother, more consistent upward trend.

Strategy Breakdown

A direct comparison of the total capital involved and the final returns. While both strategies required the same initial outlay, Scheffler's historic run delivered nearly four times the monetary gain of the stock market.

Complete Finish History (2023-2025)

A look at Scottie Scheffler's incredible consistency. Below are his finishing positions in every tournament played during the analysis period. Wins are highlighted in green.

The Final Tally

The Scheffler Strategy

Betting on Dominance

Total Return on Investment

138.8%

(Based on $5,500 wagered)

The S&P 500 Index

Market Growth

Total Return on Investment

35.1%

(Based on a $5,500 investment)